Research on Spatiotemporal Prediction Model of Urban Traffic Flow Based on Graph Neural Networks and Attention Mechanism

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Authors: Yuliang Xiao
Cited by: 0

Abstract

Traffic flow pblueiction is one of the hardest (and most practical) problems in smart city work. If you get the forecasts wrong,everything downstream suffers: signal timing,incident response,routing,even basic city operations. The trouble is that a lot of existing methods still don`t do a great job with the messy reality of road networks,where conditions change fast and influences ripple across space and time in non-obvious ways.This paper proposes a model called the Dynamic Spatiotemporal Graph Attention Network (DSTGAT). In plain terms,it mixes graph neural networks with attention to better match how traffic actually behaves. The key idea is a dynamic traffic graph that can change as road conditions change,instead of treating the network as fixed. A graph convolutional network is then used to learn spatial relationships from that graph,while a spatiotemporal attention module focuses on the temporal side of the problem.Tests on three real-world datasets show consistent gains over common baselines. DSTGAT cuts MAE by 15.3% and RMSE by 12.7%,which is a meaningful jump if you care about day-to-day traffic control rather than just pretty benchmark numbers. Overall,the results suggest DSTGAT is a solid step toward more reliable,real-world traffic pblueiction for urban management.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Traffic Prediction and Management Techniques Traffic control and management Transportation Planning and Optimization

Publication details

Journal / source
Applied and Computational Engineering
Volume
215
Issue
1
Pages
154–163
Publication date
10 February 2026
Language
EN