How multinational enterprises respond to the global minimum tax

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Authors: Lei Cui
Cited by: 0

Abstract

This paper develops an operating blueprint for multinational enterprises facing the 15% global minimum tax under Pillar Two. It combines structured analysis of implementation status, Qualified Domestic Minimum Top-up Taxes (QDMTTs), and safe harbours with quantitative assessment of strategic responses across equity chains, business footprint, and substance. A comparative mapping of 48 3 jurisdictions and 72 5 multinational groups shows that by 2026, more than 31.5 4.7 jurisdictions will have implemented some form of Pillar Two, with 19.2 2.9 offering QDMTTs that can offset top-up exposure. Scenario modelling indicates that effective use of transitional country-by-country reporting safe harbours can reduce full GloBE computations from 17.8 5.2 to 6.4 2.1 jurisdictions per group in early years, while coherent QDMTT design and substance reallocation can lower average top-up tax by 23.6 6.3%. The paper proposes a four-dimensional response framework that stabilizes jurisdictional effective tax rates, compresses UTPR exposure, and reduces volatility in quarterly tax charge by 12.7 3.5% in modelled cases. The analysis concludes that Pillar Two should be treated as a multi-year operating programme with tax, finance, and IT jointly accountable for data quality, safe harbour coverage, and strategic alignment.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Corporate Taxation and Avoidance Taxation and Legal Issues Economic and Fiscal Studies

Publication details

Journal / source
Journal of Applied Economics and Policy Studies
Volume
19
Issue
1
Pages
13–19
Publication date
12 January 2026