Risk Perception and Behavioral Responses to Market Volatility in Mutual Fund Investments Among Indian Retail Investors

Read full text
Cited by: 0

Abstract

The Indian mutual fund industry in 2025 witnessed heightened market volatility driven by global monetary tightening, domestic inflationary pressures, and geopolitical uncertainty.Despite strong structural indicators such as rising Assets Under Management (AUM) and record Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) inflows, retail investor participation slowed significantly.Unique investor growth decelerated to 5.2 percent in the first half of 2025, while the India Volatility Index (VIX) averaged 16.82 and peaked at 25.19 in April-the highest since 2022.This paradox highlights a critical disconnect between investor perception and actual investment behaviour.This study employs an extensive secondary-data-based analytical framework, synthesizing data from over 300 authoritative sources including AMFI monthly reports (2025), SEBI volatility disclosures, RBI National Financial Inclusion Strategy (NFIS 2023), NSSO demographic surveys, CRISIL industry insights, and peer-reviewed behavioural finance literature (2015-2025).Covering a sample universe of 55.3 million mutual fund investors, the research applies correlation analysis, chi-square tests, and meta-regression techniques to examine how perceived risk influences SIP continuity, redemptions, and asset allocation decisions during volatile periods.Findings reveal a statistically significant negative relationship (r = -0.618,p < 0.001) between volatility perception and sustained equity investment.Demographic moderation is pronounced: senior investors (50+) exhibit strong loss aversion (80%), young investors display overconfidence (65%), women investors show heightened disposition effects (78%), and rural/B30 investors remain risk-averse despite structural growth initiatives.The study further evaluates the role of fintech tools and regulatory interventions, finding that transparency dashboards, SEBI risk reframing, and AI-based stress simulations can improve investor retention by 28-38 percent.The paper concludes that evidence-based behavioural interventions can unlock an additional ₹18-25 lakh crore in mutual fund AUM by 2030, advancing India's household financial penetration toward long-term inclusion goals.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics Financial Markets and Investment Strategies Agricultural risk and resilience

Publication details

Journal / source
International Research Journal of Modernization in Engineering Technology and Science
Publication date
7 January 2026