MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS OF ENERGY AS DRIVERS OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) IN NIGERIA (2000–2022).

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Abstract

This study investigates the impact of energy-related variables on Nigeria's gross domestic product (GDP) from 2000 to 2022 using multivariate techniques.Specifically, it applies Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to reduce dimensionality across 33 variables spanning energy consumption, CO₂ emissions, and renewable electricity generation.The suitability of PCA was confirmed by a Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin (KMO) measure of 0.67 and a significant Bartlett's Test (p < 0.001).Two principal components explained approximately 81% of total variance.Component 1 captured industrial and fossil-based energy usage, while Component 2 represented environmental and renewable energy dynamics.A multiple linear regression of these components against GDP showed that both significantly predicted economic growth (R² = 0.954, p < 0.001), with Component 1 having a stronger influence.The findings underscore the importance of optimizing energy policy to support economic growth while transitioning to cleaner energy systems.Recommendations include strengthening investment in renewable energy and improving energy efficiency for industrial sectors.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Energy Environment Economic Growth Economic Growth and Development Global Energy Security and Policy

Publication details

Journal / source
International Research Journal of Modernization in Engineering Technology and Science
Publication date
27 February 2026
Language
EN