Executive Decision-Making Under Regulatory Uncertainty: A Systems Architecture Approach to Governance, Risk, and Deterministic Oversight

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Authors: Steven Paul Nohr
Cited by: 0

Abstract

Regulatory uncertainty has become a defining condition for executive decision-making in finance, technology, and critical digital infrastructure. Organizations increasingly operate under incomplete, evolving, or conflicting regulatory regimes, where legal interpretation, policy guidance, and supervisory expectations shift faster than operational systems can adapt. This paper argues that regulatory uncertainty is not primarily a legal or compliance problem, but a systems design failure rooted in discretionary governance models, delayed audit mechanisms, and probabilistic decision support tools.We introduce a systems-oriented governance framework that reframes regulatory uncertainty as a controllable risk through deterministic governance primitives, rule-layer enforcement, time-bounded trust mechanisms, and audit-first architectures. By analyzing decision-theoretic failure modes in regulated environments, the paper demonstrates why legal interpretation and AI-assisted compliance alone cannot stabilize executive decision-making. Instead, we propose architectural principles that constrain uncertainty at the system level, enabling executives, boards, and regulators to operate within bounded, inspectable, and auditable decision environments.The framework is applicable across regulated sectors, including financial services, digital platforms, AI governance, and public infrastructure, offering a practical path toward resilient decision-making under persistent regulatory ambiguity.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Regulation and Compliance Studies Governance Compliance and Sustainability Information Technology Governance and Strategy

Publication details

Journal / source
Figshare
Publication date
1 January 2026
Document type
Preprint