Risk, Trust, and Verification in AI & Finance: Why Probabilistic Intelligence Cannot Substitute Deterministic Governance
Abstract
Artificial intelligence is increasingly deployed across financial systems to support fraud detection, risk scoring, compliance monitoring, and operational decision-making. While these systems offer significant advantages in pattern recognition and automation, they are inherently probabilistic, adaptive, and retrospective. This paper argues that such properties make AI fundamentally unsuitable as a primary mechanism for trust, compliance, or governance in regulated, high-risk financial environments.We establish a formal distinction between probabilistic intelligence and deterministic verification, demonstrating why trust, accountability, and regulatory integrity require enforceable, audit-first system architectures. By examining AI failure modes, automation bias, and accountability constraints, the paper introduces deterministic verification layers as a mandatory system primitive. A hybrid governance model is proposed in which AI assists decision-making, while deterministic mechanisms enforce compliance, attribution, and auditability. This boundary-setting framework provides a foundation for resilient financial infrastructure under increasing regulatory and systemic risk.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Ethics and Social Impacts of AI
Digitalization
Law
and Regulation
Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Figshare
- Publication date
- 1 January 2026
- Document type
- Preprint