Auburn Coherence Framework v1.2 — February 2026 Prediction Verification: Seven-Region Global Assessment
Abstract
This report verifies predictions issued by the Auburn Coherence Framework v1.2 on February 5, 2026 against observed meteorological events through February 28, 2026 across seven global regions: Australia, China, United States, Western Europe, Middle East, South America, and Southeast Asia. Of 28 discrete predictions assessed, 20 were confirmed or confirmed early (71.4%), five exhibited partial verification with correct mechanism identification, and three remain within open prediction windows. No predictions were contradicted by observed outcomes. Events covered by framework predictions were associated with an estimated USD $12–15 billion in combined economic losses and more than 200 fatalities. The report includes compound risk verification, coherence value calibration analysis, and lead-time assessment relative to operational warning systems. The Auburn Coherence Framework applies geometric constraint analysis to atmospheric dynamics and is independently developed with no institutional affiliation. CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 (same as all your other Auburn docs)
Fields of Study & Subjects
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
Climate variability and models
Disaster Management and Resilience
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Figshare
- Publication date
- 1 March 2026
- Language
- EN