Demographic and epidemiological factors associated with COVID-19 superspreading persons in Gangwon province

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Authors: Won Sup Oh, Sunhak Bae, Eunmi Kim, Saerom Kim, Chaeyun Lim, Yerin Lee, Yeojin Kim, Seungmin Jeong
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Abstract

Superspreading persons (SSPs) drive marked heterogeneity in SARS-CoV-2 transmission, yet quantitative evidence on their determinants in community settings remains limited. To quantify the impact of SSPs and identify demographic, virologic, and contextual correlates of superspreading in Gangwon Province, Korea. We analysed province-wide epidemiological investigation records for laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 from 21 February 2020 to 31 January 2022. Transmission networks linking index and secondary cases were reconstructed. Superspreaders were prespecified as individuals generating ≥7 secondary infections. Offspring counts were modelled with a negative binomial distribution; multivariable logistic regression estimated adjusted odds ratios for age, vaccination, symptoms at diagnosis, PCR cycle-threshold (Ct), occupation, exposure setting, and viral variant based on specimen date. Among 15,300 community-acquired cases, offspring counts followed a negative binomial distribution(κ = 0.36). Most cases generated ≤6 secondaries, whereas 164 cases (1.1%) met the superspreader criterion and accounted for 1,571 downstream infections (11.3%). Higher odds of superspreading were observed among ages 0–19 (aOR 1.86) and 40–59 (1.84), the unvaccinated (1.64), those symptomatic at diagnosis (2.13), individuals with Ct

Fields of Study & Subjects

COVID-19 epidemiological studies SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research COVID-19 Clinical Research Studies

Publication details

Journal / source
Figshare
Publication date
5 March 2026
Language
EN