The Impact of Economic Growth and Unemployment on Poverty Rates in Indonesia 2011-2024

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Authors: Melvany Agustini Sinurat, Elsa Aurel Agustine Situmorang, Novianti Naomi Ulina Br Naibaho, Selfiana Lumban Batu, Irma Herliza Rizki
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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of economic growth and unemployment rates on poverty rates in Indonesia during the period 2011 to 2024. The method used is a quantitative approach with multiple linear regression analysis, where secondary data is obtained from the publication of the Central Statistics Agency (BPS). The results of the study indicate that both economic growth and unemployment have a significant effect on poverty rates. Economic growth has a positive effect on poverty, indicating that an increase in economic growth is actually followed by an increase in the number of poor people, allegedly due to non-inclusive growth. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate shows a strong positive and significant effect on poverty. Simultaneously, both variables have a significant effect on poverty with a coefficient of determination of 68%, meaning the model can explain 68% of the variation in poverty rates. This finding confirms that economic growth needs to be accompanied by an expansion of employment opportunities in order to truly reduce poverty rates.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Income Poverty and Inequality Economic Growth and Fiscal Policies Unemployment and Economic Growth

Publication details

Journal / source
International Journal of Advanced Research
Volume
2
Issue
5
Pages
208–215
Publication date
11 February 2026
Language
EN