Perbandingan Metode Regresi Linier dan Artificial Neural Network dalam Memprediksi Jumlah Penumpang Kereta Api Nasional

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Authors: Saudurma S. S. Sidabutar, Septian Trio Sitohang, Makmur Jaya Samosir, Yosua Alexandru Simatupang, Jaya Tata Hardinata
Cited by: 0

Abstract

The development of rail transportation in Indonesia continues to change over time. These changes are influenced by various factors, such as government policies, the economic situation, and improvements in railway infrastructure. This dynamic suggests that better transportation planning requires predictive techniques that can accurately identify changing patterns. This study aims to compare Linear Regression and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) methods in predicting national rail passenger numbers. Before being used for modeling, the time series data underwent a preprocessing stage. The research process included dividing the data into training and test data, applying both prediction methods, and evaluating model performance using Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE). The results showed that the ANN method was more accurate than the Linear Regression method. Therefore, the ANN method may be a better choice to assist rail transportation planning in Indonesia.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Forecasting Techniques and Applications Data Mining and Machine Learning Applications Stock Market Forecasting Methods

Publication details

Journal / source
Jurnal Komputer Teknologi Informasi Sistem Komputer (JUKTISI)
Volume
4
Issue
3
Pages
2125–2132
Publication date
29 January 2026