Anomaly Prediction Method for Time Series Data Based on ARIMA and Multilayer LSTM Networks

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Authors: Kangqian Huang, Xijun Lin, Zicong Wang, Dongqi Han, Yali Gao, Kaiguo Yuan, Xiao-Yong Li
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Abstract

Time series analysis has consistently captivated the scholarly community. Within the realm of power trading security assurance systems, valuable information can be obtained by analyzing the time series data of power trading. Consequently, this study advocates for a novel time-series anomaly detection approach predicated on the amalgamation of ARIMA and multi-layer LSTM networks. The time series is partitioned into linear and nonlinear components, with the linear segment undergoing processing via the ARIMA module. Subsequently, the processed outcomes are juxtaposed with the original data for residual and white noise detection to derive more suitable nonlinear mode insights for processing within the multi-layer LSTM model. This methodological framework effectively addresses the challenge of abnormal data detection in network systems. Comparative analysis against various historical detection models reveals an average performance enhancement exceeding 5% in key metrics.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Anomaly Detection Techniques and Applications Technology and Security Systems Network Security and Intrusion Detection

Publication details

Journal / source
電腦學刊
Publisher
Computer Society of the Republic of China
Volume
37
Issue
3
Pages
327–345
Publication date
29 June 2026
Language
EN