On Systemic Uncertainties and Geological Risks in the Process of Geological Exploration Works

The article is devoted to the study of systemic uncertainties and geological risks in the process of geological exploration. An analysis is provided of the risks arising during the prospecting, exploration, and development of complex-structured deposits in the Eastern Ustyurt region. It is shown that complicating factors are formed due to the interrelation between risk and uncertainty. Their consideration in the process of comprehensive project planning is recommended. Based on the analysis of uncertainties and risks, a map of the success rate of geological exploration in the Eastern Ustyurt region has been developed.