Temporal span of biodiversity monitoring mediates the effects of area and environment

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Authors: Daniela Mellado Mansilla, Gabriele Midolo, Gabriel Ortega‐Solís, Jiří Reif, Florencia Grattarola, Dylan Craven, F. Leroy, Michela Perrone, Karel Šťastný, Vladimír Bejček, Petr Keil
Cited by: 1
References: 52

Abstract

Abstract The scale at which diversity is observed shapes the patterns we find. While spatial scale is known to influence biodiversity patterns, the effects of temporal scale, namely the average duration of sampling (known as temporal span), have been mostly overlooked. Here, we investigate how temporal span affects species richness patterns, their environmental drivers, and species richness hotspots. We used species richness data from several large bird datasets from Czechia, with over 7000 observations, a spatial grain ranging from 0.03 to 100 km 2 , and a temporal span ranging from 1 to 36 years (1985-2017). Using Random Forests, we modelled species richness as a response to temporal span, while also including area, geographic location, time, and environmental and land-cover predictors. We found that the temporal span is consistently among the most important predictors of bird species richness. Moreover, temporal span interacts with key environmental conditions, particularly precipitation and water bodies, modulating their effects on species richness and revealing processes that differ from those traditionally attributed solely to spatial grain. We also found that using different time spans can shift the predicted locations of biodiversity hotspots. Our results provide empirical evidence that temporal span should be included in studies about biodiversity and conservation planning, given the urgent challenges arising from ongoing biodiversity change and the complexity of its drivers.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Studies Species Distribution and Climate Change Animal Ecology and Behavior Studies

Publication details

Journal / source
bioRxiv (Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory)
Publisher
openRxiv
Publication date
9 February 2026
Document type
Preprint