Continuous glucose monitor–derived glucotypes and cardiovascular risk scores in individuals without diabetes

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Authors: Bahar Bakhshi, Honghuang Lin, Naznin Sultana, Elizabeth Healey, Havelah Queen, Sophie E. Claudel, Erika T. Minetti, Gary F. Mitchell, Joanne M. Murabito, Donald M. Lloyd‐Jones, Devin Steenkamp, Matthew Gregory Nayor
+3 more Vanessa Xanthakis, Maura E. Walker, Nicole L. Spartano
Cited by: 0
References: 28

Abstract

Abstract Introduction Dysglycemia is a well-established risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD); yet traditional glycemic traits, including fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and HbA1c, do not capture dynamic glucose fluctuations that may inform CVD risk. We cross-sectionally investigated the association of continuous glucose monitor (CGM)-derived metrics and 2-h post-prandial glucose (2-h PPG) with estimated 10-year CVD risk among individuals without diabetes. Methods We included 1,360 Framingham Heart Study participants (Third Generation, New Offspring Spouse, and Omni 2 cohorts at exam 4) without prevalent diabetes or CVD who had ≥3 days of CGM data and completed a mixed meal tolerance test (MMTT) with corresponding 2-PPG. We included 7 CGM summary metrics and defined data-driven glucotypes according to CGM measures of glycemic burden and variability. The 10-year CVD risk was estimated using the Predicting Risk of CVD EVENTs (PREVENT) base equations. We performed linear regression on standardized glycemic traits and glucotypes with log-transformed PREVENT risk scores and multinomial regression to relate standardized CGM metrics and 2-h PPG with PREVENT categories (low

Fields of Study & Subjects

Diabetes Cardiovascular Risks and Lipoproteins Diabetes Management and Research Diabetes Treatment and Management

Publication details

Journal / source
medRxiv
Publication date
27 February 2026
Language
EN
Document type
Preprint