Semaglutide cardiovascular outcomes align more closely with attained dose than achieved weight loss
Abstract
Abstract Semaglutide is often optimized for weight loss, but whether longer-term cardiovascular benefit tracks achieved weight loss or therapeutic exposure levels remains unclear. Using a federated deidentified U.S. electronic health record network of 29 million patients, including 505,874 semaglutide-treated individuals, we leveraged multimodal AI technologies to analyze 47,199 patients with baseline cardiovascular disease. We quantified dose escalation and weight change during the 0–2-year period after semaglutide initiation (landmark period) and assessed cardiovascular outcomes during the 2–4-year period (post-landmark). In propensity-matched comparisons during the landmark period, semaglutide was associated with lower cardiovascular events than metformin, DPP-4 and SGLT2 inhibitors. Higher maximum semaglutide dose was associated with greater weight loss during the landmark period (3.15% additional weight loss per 1 mg increase; r=−0.97, P
Fields of Study & Subjects
Diabetes Treatment and Management
Bariatric Surgery and Outcomes
Metabolism
Diabetes
and Cancer
Publication details
- Journal / source
- medRxiv
- Publisher
- openRxiv
- Publication date
- 6 April 2026
- Document type
- Preprint