The Euro as an Optimum Currency Area? A Reappraisal

Read full text
Authors: Moritz Pfeifer, Gunther Schnabl
Cited by: 1

Abstract

This paper reassesses whether the euro area satisfies the criteria of an optimum currency area. It contrasts early hopes of convergence with subsequent developments marked by persistent heterogeneity across member states. Differences in economic structures, fiscal policies, and financial cycles have produced asymmetries that a single monetary policy cannot offset. Labor mobility and fiscal integration remain limited, shifting adjustment burdens onto prices, wages, and financial flows. Credit expansion and later retrenchment amplified divergence, culminating in the sovereign debt crisis. Since then, cohesion has relied heavily on unconventional monetary policies and fiscal support mechanisms, with notable effects on inflation dynamics, growth performance, and income distribution. The analysis concludes that the euro area has not evolved toward optimality and faces rising risks unless institutional reforms or structural changes are undertaken.

Publication details

Journal / source
CESifo
Publication date
15 May 2026