[Changes in gastric cancer mortality in Peru before, during, and after the pandemic: a national interrupted time series analysisn].

Authors: Harold Benites-Goñi, Carlos A. Huayanay-Espinoza, Alvaro G Oviedo-Rios, Rodrigo Motta, Victor Castro, Luis Huicho
Cited by: 0

Abstract

INTRODUCTION: The diagnosis and treatment of gastric cancer may have been affected during the COVID-19 pandemic, ultimately influencing mortality from this disease. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate changes in gastric cancer mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic years. MATERIALS AND METHODS: An interrupted time series analysis was conducted to assess changes in gastric cancer mortality. Data were obtained from the National Death Information System. Three periods were compared: pre-pandemic (2017-2019), pandemic (2020-2021), and post-pandemic (2022-2023). Segmented regression models were used. RESULTS: Before the pandemic, an average of 2,107 deaths per year was recorded. During 2020 and 2021, mortality increased by 39% and 118%, respectively. The highest peaks occurred between April and July 2020. An additional rise was observed during the early months of 2021. Although mortality progressively declined in 2023, pre-pandemic levels were not restored. The analysis showed that observed deaths consistently exceeded expected projections through late 2022. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 pandemic generated a temporary but significant increase in gastric cancer-related mortality in Peru.

Fields of Study & Subjects

COVID-19 and healthcare impacts Global Cancer Incidence and Screening COVID-19 epidemiological studies

Publication details

Journal / source
PubMed
Volume
45
Issue
4
Pages
345–352
Publication date
26 June 2026
Language
ES