Nonparametric inference for spot volatility in pure-jump semimartingales
Abstract
We provide a comprehensive analysis of spot volatility inference in pure-jump semimartingales under two asymptotic settings: fixed-$k$, where each local window uses a fixed number of observations, and large-$k$, where this number grows with sampling frequency. For both active- and possibly inactive-jump settings, we derive generally nonstandard, typically non-Gaussian limit distributions and establish valid inference, including when the jump-activity index is consistently estimated. Simulations show that fixed-$k$ asymptotics offer markedly better finite-sample accuracy, underscoring their practical advantage for nonparametric spot volatility inference.
Fields of Study & Subjects
Stochastic processes and financial applications
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
Statistical Methods and Inference
Publication details
- Journal / source
- arXiv (Cornell University)
- Publication date
- 26 January 2026
- Document type
- Preprint