Un Viabilidad económica de un aumento en las exportaciones mexicanas de pepino a Estados Unidos: un análisis de elasticidad

Mexico is the principal exporter of cucumber (Cucumis sativus), while the United States is the main importer; to supplement its domestic consumption, it mainly imports from Mexico. Furthermore, between 1989 and 2023, imports of Mexican products into the United States increased at an average annual growth rate of 4.54%. This study analyzes the economic viability of increasing the quantity of Mexican cucumber exported to the United States, with emphasis on the export capacities of Sinaloa, Sonora, and Michoacán. Using an econometric model that incorporates price elasticity related to changes in demand, we project a 10% increase in exports, and evaluate impact on prices and traded volumes. Results suggest that price elasticity related to changes in demand plays a key role in determining whether increased export quantities generate net benefits for Mexican producers. The states of Sinaloa, Sonora, and Michoacán are the main producers, contributing 63.66% of national exports.