Varför skiljer sig hushållens uppfattade inflation från den faktiska inflationen i Sverige?

This study investigates why households' perceived inflation differs from the official inflation in Sweden, measured by CPI, over the period 1994-2025. The analysis is based upon two hypotheses: the first examines whether periods of high inflation are related to a lower gap between perceived- and official inflation. The second examines whether increased media exposure regarding inflation, is linked with a bigger inflationary gap. The study utilizes an econometric analysis with monthly Swedish time series data producing a total of three regressions estimated using OLS. The results show that the inflationary gap on average tends to be smaller during periods of high inflation thereby indicating that the households' perceptions are closer to the official measures during elevated inflation periods. Moreover, increased media exposure to inflation is associated with a larger gap between the households' perceptions and the official CPI. Further research could provide deeper insight regarding which factors affect the variation in the inflationary gap.