Societal Structural Viability Instrument (SVI): Instrument Development + Databook

Read full text
Authors: James Stikeleather
Cited by: 0

Abstract

This OSF project is the canonical home for the Societal Structural Viability Instrument (SVI) and the Cumulative Exception Load (CEL), along with their associated Databook, figures, and supporting materials. The project is dedicated to its inspiration - Ilya Prigogine and "Order Out of Chaos." The SVI is a diagnostic instrument informed by systems theory, cybernetics, complexity science, and evolutionary social science for evaluating whether a governance architecture can sense reality, correct error, and sustain consent under stress. It supports comparative diagnosis and institutional design. The SVI is composed of 15 parameters with both quantitative (via public data proxies) and qualitative manifestations. This project does not seek to replace political analysis with systems analysis. It seeks to model the infrastructure within which political contestation occurs. CEL (Cumulative Exception Load) is a governance-specific operational heuristic using the coupled rise of (a) exception escalation rate (how often rules fail and jump to human arbitration) and (b) unresolved case/backlog accumulation (contradictions that the system cannot metabolize). When CEL rises, proportional control fails, and the system shifts toward blunt, destabilizing interventions. CEL is inspired by information theory and cybernetics. It captures a practical failure surface: the point where interpretive and administrative capacity is overwhelmed by escalating exceptions and accumulating unresolved cases. Both SVI and CEL are developed through a versioned Databook, a series of concept primers, and a linked series of working papers. This project develops analytical and diagnostic tools; it does not advocate a specific political ideology or policy program. Intended Audiences and Cross-Domain Function The project explicitly targets two scholarly communities and is structured to foster dialogue across disciplinary silos. 1. Systems Scholars (from General Systems Theory, cybernetics, biology, environmental science, economics, business, and complexity research) The project invites systems scholars to extend their models: ecosystems, markets, and organizations into the domain of political governance. The SVI adapts and extends Ashby’s Law of Requisite Variety and Beer’s Viable System Model to state-level institutions, treating governance as an engineered system with identifiable failure modes. Comparative audits enable resilience analysis and institutional redesign grounded in observable control and feedback structures. 2. Political Scientists and Governance Scholars The project offers systems-based analytical tools that move beyond standard liberal, realist, or institutionalist frameworks. Concepts such as the Viability Stack, Cumulative Exception Load (CEL), O-Ring fragility, and Strangler-Fig dynamics provide mechanisms for analyzing regime persistence, brittleness, and collapse in a falsifiable, diagnostic manner. The tools are designed to bridge theory and institutional reform without presuming normative consensus. Both communities benefit from comparative audits and real-world applications: systems scholars gain political governance as a testing ground for theory, while governance scholars gain formal systems tools and cybernetic diagnostics. This research program informs a book manuscript, "Steering the State: Why Correction Becomes Collapse," which develops the theoretical foundations and proposes an institutional architecture designed to maximize structural viability.

Fields of Study & Subjects

Public Administration and Political Analysis Complex Systems and Decision Making Public Administration and Governance

Publication details

Journal / source
OSF Preprints (OSF Preprints)
Publication date
2 October 2026
Document type
Preprint