Just stop oil? The economic and environmental consequences of ending domestic oil and gas production
Abstract
* No credible forecast shows UK oil and gas demand falling to zero by 2050, even under net zero scenarios - oil and gas are essential ingredients in plastics, fertilisers, medicines and modern technology * The 78% headline tax rate is forcing a decline in North Sea production and driving investment overseas, with the workforce forecast to halve to as low as 57,000 by the early 2030s - losing up to 1,000 jobs a month * Replacing domestic production with imports increases overall emissions by around 50% and risks gas shortages on cold winter days as early as 2026/27
Fields of Study & Subjects
Global Energy Security and Policy
Global Energy and Sustainability Research
Climate Change Policy and Economics
Publication details
- Journal / source
- Econstor (Econstor)
- Publication date
- 1 January 2026
- Language
- EN